Since the release of ChatGPT-3.0, and even before that, there has been widespread buzz around machine learning models, generative AI, and their tremendous potential for business and commercial applications.
As with any new piece of the technology or innovation, investors have been consistently trying to identify ways to create shareholder value by identifying profitable endeavors in the Artificial intelligence space and those who can leverage the new technology to maximize business outcomes.
As we've seen in the past however, investments aren't always distributed equitably. In fact, in many cases the investment decisions seem quite questionable and in rare cases, are seemingly made based on a superficial understanding of impact the technology is creating on the business.
Historically, we've experienced this same phenomenon with the dotcom bubble during the early 2000s, where any business that was merely associated with "internet" or the "web" could easily raise huge sums of money from unsuspecting investors with deep pockets who were keen to jump onto the "next big thing".
This phenomenon resulted in the demise of many internet startups but also paved the way to several more in the future, many of which are behemoths today.
We are hearing similar stores with Artificial intelligence today, wherein companies that are associated with machine learning and artificial intelligence are likely to be valued far higher that what is justifiable from a business standpoint.
But these stories are anecdotal and not exactly representative of the actual investment landscape in tech.
So we drilled down the numbers behind investments done in 2024 so far, and how many of them were fundinds made in the Artificial intelligence space.
Our research methodology was rather straightforward and relied heavily on collating data from multiple platforms, web-scraping and a bit of SQL.
Here's the step-by-step methodology
What we learnt was a mix of surprises and affirmations to what was already well known.
See the numbers for yourself below.
18% of companies that were funded in 2024 (Uptil 20th of May) had an element of "AI" mentioned in and around their product/service.
Rest of the 83 % businesses spanned both tech and non tech business models but were devoid of any element of AI in their services or business processes.
Thus underscoring the importance of innovation without necessarily jumping on the trends.
Within the range of data extracted for the AI funded companies , we even got our hands on the industry specific data pointing towards the major and minor industries these ai driven companies cover.
We've listed them below.
Automotive and IT sectors were among the first to recognize the importance of AI when the concept of AI/ML was introduced. The data presented indicates two major insights:
1. Two leading industries in the market have traditionally adopted AI and have experienced significant growth as a result.
2. There is a noticeable increase in AI dependency in smaller sectors, which previously did not see the need to incorporate machine learning to innovate and enhance their product or service offerings.
Based on the data of companies that received funding and have 'AI' mentioned on their websites, the distribution of funding across various series is as follows
The funding distribution among AI-focused companies is indicative of their scope and lifecycle , reflecting different stages from early development to mature growth.
Here's a breakdown of the funding series and what they typically signify:
Series A is the first significant round of venture capital financing for a startup.
Series B funding is used to take the business to the next level by expanding market reach, increasing operational capacity, and growing the team.
Series C funding is for businesses that have proven themselves in the market.
Series D funding can serve multiple purposes, such as addressing specific challenges, preparing for an IPO, or further expanding an already successful business.
Series E funding is often used for final expansions, acquisitions, or to ensure the company is fully prepared for an IPO.
Equity crowdfunding involves raising small amounts of money from a large number of investors, typically via online platforms.
Private equity involves investments directly into private companies or buyouts of public companies, leading to their delisting.
The above mentioned funding distribution indicates a healthy investment landscape for AI companies, with a strong focus on early and mid-stage growth.
The majority of AI startups are attracting early-stage investments, enabling them to develop and scale their technologies.
The presence of equity crowdfunding highlights the increasing use of diverse funding sources, democratizing access to capital.
While fewer companies reach the advanced stages of Series D and E, those that do are well-positioned for significant strategic moves or public listing.
The low percentage of private equity involvement further emphasizes the nascent stage of many AI companies, with considerable growth potential still ahead.
While the exact validity of the data would depend on specific sources and the timeframe of the data collection, the general trend seems plausible based on current knowledge and trends in AI funding and innovation.
Here’s why these numbers might make sense
Global AI Funding Distribution by Country
The following percentages reflect the distribution of AI funding across various countries, highlighting their respective contributions to the global AI landscape. While the exact validity of the data depends on specific sources and the timeframe of data collection, these trends are plausible based on current knowledge and trends in AI funding and innovation.
Like we mentioned in the beginning of the article, it seems quite likely that most investments into generative-AI based startups are likely to not yield the expected ROI.
However, investment decisions can be irrational and like in the case of the dot com bubble, it's likely that investors will continue to inflate the valuations of these startups citing future potential instead of justifiable revenue growth.
Some companies, undoubtedly, will emerge as the very leaders and pioneers in leveraging this technology for tangible benefits and with justifiable business results.
Similarly, there certainly will be a few bad apples who can hardly justify any commercial benefit of the technology, or worse, who don't leverage any form of artificial at all.
In 2024, there have been instances where companies misrepresented their involvement with AI to attract investors, a practice often referred to as "AI washing." The SEC has taken action against such deceptive practices.
For example, the SEC charged Delphia (USA) Inc. and Global Predictions Inc. with making false and misleading statements about their use of AI.
These firms claimed to use advanced AI technologies to attract investments, but investigations revealed they did not possess the AI capabilities they touted.
Delphia falsely advertised the use of AI for investment predictions, while Global Predictions falsely claimed to be the first regulated AI financial advisor and offered AI-driven forecasts without actually using such technologies (SEC.gov)
With investor funds pouring so heavily into the AI space with companies claiming to directly or indirectly incorporate machine learning models into their processes, it is quite pertinent to understand whether this piece of technology will be harnessed as the next revolutionary innovation or simply as an instrument to woo investors at exorbitant valuations.
It is quite likely that we will witness another phenomenon similar to the dot-com era bubble wherein companies that raised funds at unjustifiable valuations perished shortly after but firms that truly harnessed the power of the internet went-on to slowly but steadily become tech giants in their own right.